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[

] 65

A B

et ter

W

or ld

T

he water resources available for Egypt’s entire gamut of

economic and service activities is extremely reliant on

the River Nile, with a dependency ratio estimated at 97

per cent

1

. A fixed 55.5 billion m

3

/year passes through the High

Aswan Dam – Egypt’s quota, according to the 1959 treaty

between Egypt and Sudan – constituting 92.5 per cent of the

country’s total renewable water resources; the remaining 7.5

per cent being quantities of renewable, fossil groundwater and

desalinated water plus a small number of rainfall showers.

The total actual resources currently available for use in Egypt

are 59.25 billion m

3

/year, while water usage is 80.25 billion

m

3

/year. The gap between the needs and availability of water

is approximately 21 billion m

3

/year, and this is managed by

reuse from drainage water, shallow groundwater and treated

wastewater. The overall efficiency of the Nile system in Egypt

exceeds 80 per cent, but the country’s total water demand is

114 billion m

3

/year to meet a steady population that has been

estimated at 96 million capita for the year 2017. Therefore, 34

billion m

3

/year of virtual water is being utilised.

Downstream from the High Aswan Dam, the River Nile is

100 per cent regulated using a number of large barrages and

irrigation structures with the result that the water resource

system in Egypt is partially closed, and thus has a tendency

to retain pollutants.

Water management policy over the last five decades main-

tained that drainage water should be reused in the Nile

delta, a decision that created severe environmental concerns,

causing a number of mixing stations to be closed.

Since 1990, Egypt has reached the so-called water poverty

line with respect to the per capita share of water of almost

1,000 m

3

/year. In 2017, the share decreased to almost 600

m

3

/year, and it is expected to fall to less than 500 m

3

/capita

before the year 2030, when the population is expected to

touch the 130 million mark. Meanwhile, an increase in

cultivated land in Egypt is vital to produce the necessary

quantities of food to feed the growing population and secure

social and political stability in the country. This will add

more challenges to improve Egypt’s utilization of its limited

water resources and to develop new resources to cover the

needs of the cultivated areas as well as other uses.

Egypt’s vulnerability to climate change touches several

sectors and the common cause of this vulnerability is water.

The results of studies on climate change impact show that

Egypt will face numerous threats to its economy, social and

environmental sustainability, agriculture and food security,

water resources, energy, human health, coastal zones and

physical infrastructure. Climate change studies anticipate

that the productivity of two major crops in Egypt, wheat

and maize, will be reduced by 15 to 19 per cent but that this

Water management strategies for the Nile Basin

National Water Research Institute, Planning Sector, Nile Water Sector,

Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation, Egypt

160

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

3500

3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2017

2022

2027

2032

2037

Recorded population

Estimated population

Water share/capita ‘pop record’ + ‘pop records and estimates’

Water share/capita

Source: national water resources plan (2017-2037)

Change per capita water share of Egypt

Population (million)

92 million at 2017

Population records / estimates (million) and water share (m

3

/capita/year)

Water poverty

Water scarcity

m

3

/capita/year